ABORTION, TRUMP, ALITO, BIDEN MAR A LAGO AND THE MIDTERMS

In a historical week, dwarfed as usual by the shattering news about Trump’s escalating alleged criminality, the Biden Democrats passed legislation involving climate change, forcing companies and the rich to pay their fair share, lowering drug and health care costs, and stimulating the formation of semiconductor chips companies that are essential for every modern economy from defense to cars to fridges and finally providing health care for veterans who for decades had been exposed to cancer causing toxins. To cap Biden’s week, like anyone cares, was the lowering of inflation and gas prices. The media cycle was, as usual, all about the alleged criminality of the “Republicans” own megalomaniac for the ages, Donald Trump. Not that it is the news that anyone else would be exited about but Donald Trump is not anyone and for him any spotlight can raise money.

So of course grabbing the head lines was the Forty - Fifth President whose temporary White House, Mar A Lago, was subject to a court ordered search warrant executed by the Department of Justice. Even by Trump standards the outcome was electrifying, boxes of classified documents including those that were for a few eyes only - the Washington Post reporting that they included those on nuclear weaponry - were carted away. No wonder one of the suspected crimes on the court order was espionage. Let that sink in espionage a term sanctioned by a Federal Judge.

Incidentally those violence seeking internet Trump supporters who want to murder the Attorney General need to stick around cause Mar A Lago is just a curtain raiser to the investigations of the criminality of their Fuhrer. There is still the outcome of January 6 investigations to follow, In case the faithful might have missed it Trump, who had previously categorically judged that only the mob plead the Fifth Amendment to avoid incrimination in a deposition, identified himself as such by pleading the Fifth in the crucial case in New York that could bankrupt him and his Organization. The date for the trial of his life long accountant of the Trump Organization was set  and he was involved in a plea deal and an Appeals Court ordered him to produce his tax records to the House Ways and Means Committee in what had ti have been a momentous week even by his standards, To cap it all his lead lawyer Rudi Giuliani was named as a target in a criminal investigation in Georgia.

It is fair to conclude that as good a week as Biden had was juxtaposed with the disaster of Trump’s. However although these events will impact the 2022 midterm elections none will dominate the outcome more than the issue that is central to all women, and men for that matter, - abortion.. 

PRO LIFE AND PRO CHOICE - THE ISSUE

One of the great big ironies of the clash between the Pro Life and Pro Choice movements is that both have as their central thesis the sanctity of life. The problem then arises whose life - that of a fetus or the mother. Then it rolls onto what is life and what is the sanctity of the mother. To a large extent the issue had been resolved in virtually every country in the world, even Orban’s Hungary, that the sanctity of the mother overrode that of fetal material till the latter could become a viable child, (approximately twenty - four weeks gestation) then it could be a medical decision as to the risks and to whom.

In the USA all hell broke loose when the Supreme Court in all its wisdom gave the go ahead for even six week fetal material the size of a baked bean to assume transcendence over the mother. A large section of women interpreted this as a misogynist move without any regard to the consequences. The Republicans were rapturous in hailing this as a victory for the ages. Even more significant in the ruling was that The Court  didn’t differentiate between elective abortions, miscarriages which occur in one out of four pregnancies, life threatening ectopic pregnancies which occur outside the womb and unlivable fetal abnormalities. The latter dilemmas threw the medical world in chaos.

So onto the story of the impact of the decision.  

THE IMMEDIATE RESPONSE

The banning of the Constitutional right of a woman to control her body, was made possible by the Trump three judicial appointees with the opinion written by the smug self righteous Justice Samuel Alito and was heralded by the “Republican Party” with a frantic rush by “Republican”  State legislatures to ban outright a legal termination of a pregnancy. The only rare debate among the lemmings was whether or not to make an exception for reported to the police rape and incest and the life of a mother. Neither was any attempt made to address ectopic pregnancies and miscarriages. 

As Jay H. Ell blogged on June 29 2022 “ Trump, McConnell and the GOP be Careful What You Wish For”, the expected backlash has rocked the midterm American electorate in a historical way. (To find the blog go to Archive on the right of the page and click on June 2022 and then click on the blog). The outright arrogance of Samuel Alito who then went to Rome and basically said “Sucks to women, I just don’t care”. Adding to the political flavor of the judicial opinion was Justice Thomas’s opinion in support of the position that the other decisions involving constitutional  privacy such as contraception and same sex marriage should go the same way. Fascinatingly he didn’t mention inter racial marriage which falls under the same rubric and he must have been shocked to the core when Viktor Orban the new co leader of the faith, at his guest appearance at CPAP, condemned inter racial marriage.

WHAT’S IN IT FOR TRUMP?

The newest string to the Donald’s bow is the raid on Mar A Lago his “beautiful” home where his not well designed safe was opened.. This will solidify his already solidified alt right base, produce the usual sycophantic support  and promises for retribution from the “Republican” legislators but not one more vote. The leak from Susan Glaser and Peter Baker’s new book that he wanted his Generals to be just like the Nazi Generals will bring cheers from you know who but will not bring back the votes from the Independents and the disaffected Republicans that he has already lost. 

For the moment the principle game changer is abortion.

The only “Republican” that the women’s right to privacy being revoked helps is Donald J. Trump, who is credited with this success - rightly so Jay H. Ell would opine. Evangelical Protestants  represent fifty - six percent of the Republicans as do thirty percent of the Catholics all of whose religions have a very tough line on abortion≥. Again of that group that voted for Trump their support was rock solid anyway and the decision is unlikely to add to his tally.  However the certainty of their votes is what keeps Trump head and shoulders above the rest of Republican Presidential wannabes. Of course Trump is no fool so his victory is not part of his spiel. He still is on about the 2020 election. He has the alt right and all the militants that aren’t locked up to think about as well.

His standing amongst the base may be as assured as ever but  the January 6 hearings have done his overall support harm. The Congressional “Republican” Party have taken a knock too but with Trump’s support of the base they cannot abandon him. Rather they have dumped Trump’s critics, chief among them Representative Liz Cheney who has as her mission to make sure he never becomes President again. In the latter regard his legal jeopardy has crescendoed in the last few months, especially this week. 

Trump is more than aware that you can’r win a lottery without a ticket so at the moment he hopes to survive even if indicted and as long as not convicted he will win the Republic nomination, where the abortion decision helps him. Then he could become President. After all look what happened in 2016 when Hillary was way ahead in the polls and that amoral James Comey, Head of the FBI, announced to the ecstatic Republicans, against all established protocol, that he was reopening the ludicrous investigation into Hillary Clinton’s e - mails. Clinton’s internal polls showed the impact as Trump reframed Comey from a ‘slime ball” to a hero.

WHAT’S IN IT FOR JUSTICE SAMUEL ALITO AND CONSEQUENTLY AMERICA

To frame Alito’s newly found importance The Supreme Court is the third branch of government in America and the final arbiter of all matters including what laws are constitutional or not.

Justice Samuel Alito who is Clarence Thomas’s junior in seniority by fifteen years has succeeded in becoming the leader of the  six Conservative judges on the Supreme Court, a position Thomas has held to date. The very fact that he not Thomas wrote the opinion axing the constitutional right to abortion has vaulted him to the top of the heap. He claimed that the fifty year old Roe v Wade precedent was “egregiously wrong” stunning the legal world and the world in general. Alito’s religiosity is widely known. However his utter disdain and even cruelty for what the outcome would be for a ten year olds that were raped and would be forced to deliver a baby had certainly never been on display. In addition lumping everyone not carrying a pregnancy to term and lumping health care workers together with “abortionists” shows a depth of ignorance at kindest as to the fate of women and doctors whether the former had had a miscarriage, an ectopic pregnancy, or till then a legal abortion. 

Alito’s address at the Notre Dame Religious Liberty Summit in Rome following his decision, when he would have had some idea as to the negative and dangerous impact of the Court ruling underscored his religious values and the “challenge for those who wanted to protect religious liberty”. He claimed that, “Religious liberty is under attack… because it is dangerous to those who want to hold complete power….. “it probably grows out of something dark and deep in the human DNA…” Presumably that included the right to terminate a pregnancy.

There can be little doubt that Justice Alito allowed his religious values to influence his decision. As Justice Sotomayor opined that nothing had changed in medicine or society to overturn a long standing precedent but the composition of the court. Incidentally Alito stated in his confirmation that the centrality of precedent guided his decision making,.

The upshot is that Samuel Alito is the de facto  Chief Justice. He rather than Roberts will be the final arbiter as to what the Constitution of America is and if the approval rate of the Supreme Court is currently twenty percent it can still go lower.

In case he hasn’t noticed he is about to become the savior of the Democratic Party and as popular as the head of the Taliban is with women.

SOCIETY RELIGION KANSAS AND THE COMPLICATED ISSUE OF ABORTION 

As Jay H. Ell tried to explain what a complicated issue abortion is in his blog, of July, 24, “Have the Democrats Any Hope in the Midterms”, this was not for the education of women but rather of men. As Trump doesn’t read hopefully Justice Alito might. If he hasn’t he might want to learn a bit about the subject. Also the Supreme Court is supposed to make decisions in the context of society as a whole not in the interests of just one group as they have appeared to have done in this context.

Societal opinion as reflected in the polls has ranged from seventy to eighty percent who wanted Roe to remain law, The assumption was that of course that was just the Democrats. So far the only test has been a plebiscite in the red state of Kansas which Trump beat Biden by fifteen percent. The latter’s state assembly is awash with Republicans. It is really only the fundamentalists who share Alito et al’s opinion on abortion. Both Islam and Judaism for example prioritize the sanctity of life of the mother. There is even litigation by a Jewish Religious Sect that their constitutional right to carry out this dictum has been overridden by this decision, The complaint alleges that constitutionally church and state are separate.

To date in the Primaries there has not been too much interest in the Democratic Primaries that are genteel compared to those of the Republicans where the battle for the soul of the Party goes on. Largely the Trumpists have won. Consequently the turn out for the Democrats has been nineteen percent below the 2018 midterms and the Republicans up by a similar percent. The Kansa referendum on dumping the abortion rights was held on Primary Day in the belief that this would favor the Republicans. Well guess what the Dems increased their turn out from 2018 midterms by eighty percent. Their new voter registration was predominantly women and abortion rights won by sixty to forty percent in red Kansas.

Abortion what ever pollsters may say is a top issue for 2022 and 2024,

AT THE END OF THE DAY

Biden is on a roll as his approval rates go up. Trump is in bad shape and he is what the 2022 election is going to be about. The economy is improving and there are still three months to go. 

The Democrats are on the way to increasing their majority in the Senate and are slowly improving their chances to retain the House. 

The “Republicans” have chosen not to hang alone but to hang together. Their policy is Trump is President, impeach Biden, investigate the January 6 Committee and the Department of Justice

Just in case there was any doubt as to that Trump is the “Republican” Party the recent Primary Fights including the elimination of Liz Cheney make it clear that the “Republican” Party is a cult.

Just in case everyone thinks Liz Cheney is the answer to world tension it should not be forgotten that she voted for Trump’s policies over ninety percent of the time and hailed Justice Alito’s decision on abortion.

 

It is more than a bit scary that Samuel Alito is in charge of the Third Branch of Government. On can only hope that he will not reverse legislation on Constitutional grounds. 

Abortion is turning into a central issue in the forthcoming election but Trump's alleged criminality has to be impacting Independents and democratic Republicans.

It stands to reason that the importance of the 2022 mid term elections cannot be overemphasized. 

TRUMP NOW AND AFTER - DUCK OR NO DINNER?

The imminent demise of Donald J. Trump has been a thing ever since he ventured into a property development in Manhattan in 1971. From the get go Trump sought to be the center of the news cycle both with his oversize personality and outlandish projects while always raising concerns of one sort or another about money transactions. Fifty years later the future of Trump seems to be finally reaching its denouement. As he all but trumpets his third run for the Presidency, the Attorney General has made it quite clear that he will seek to hold anyone who was responsible for the attempt to interrupt the peaceful of transfer of power from one administration to another. For the umpteenth time a Trump weary world look at his projected comeuppance with bored disbelief. The cynicism was shattered with last weeks events surrounding criminal investigations into his behavior hot on the heals of the explosive January 6 House Investigation hearings.

Trump is throwing the dice once again. In the past even if they rolled against him he lived to fight another day. This time it appears to be duck or no dinner. He is either going to be the Forty - Fifth President all over again or a defendant in the dock. This time if he fails there is no hiatus between disasters. Even if it was possible as he suggested, in his sick return to Washington to the faithful, that if he disappeared from the scene they would stop persecuting him,  - “a friend told him that he was the greatest persecuted person in American history”. It is just not going to happen.. He has rolled the dice once too much. Trump can reflect back that it has been a great run, but in the words of Sinatra, “It was just one of those things”. Trump to date has believed that if he commits crimes in public he cannot be prosecuted but there had to be a reckoning. He can gain comfort from the fact that “the crazies” agree with him that he is not a “loser”. 

Having explained all that, even bearing in mind criminal liability, the big question still remains will Garland prosecute a former President? 

WHO IS MERRICK GARLAND?

When Barak Obama nominated Merrick Garland as a Supreme Court Justice in 2016 he did so in the knowledge that there was not a judicial soul who had a negative word to say about him. He was regarded as the epitome of a non prejudicial jurist with carefully thought and researched opinions in his role as Chief Justice of the DC Court of Appeals, the second highest court in the land. He had never ever been reversed by the Supreme Court. The Garland  Supreme Court nomination hearings would make it virtually impossible for the Republican controlled Senate not to confirm him. That fact led Mitch McConnell, who in morality is the very opposite of what Garland represents, not to take the slightest chance. He did not allow the nomination to be even put forward and waited a full year to pass. Then the totalitarian hurricane hit. Trump was elected and between the unholy duo of Trump and McConnell they sealed their ignominy by appointing three judges who misled the public as to their judicial philosophy. One of them Amy Barrett, McConnell rushed through in record time just days before a Presidential election as opposed to a year which he said was too close to an election to consider Garland. To put an exclamation point on the high regard of Garland, in this day of partisan extremism, his nomination to Attorney General garnered seventy votes.

As the January 6 House Hearing Committee proceeded with their breathtaking exposes of the coup, Merrick Garland plodded on ahead investigating and charging Trump’s foot soldiers, Frustration burst through all round. The criticism mounted in every circle, all but screaming that the ponderous arcane jurist was not cut out for the chief prosecutorial job. Even Biden was anonymously reported to have muttered frustration. 

There was some ambivalence on the issue. Trump was a former President of an opposing political party and all things being equal would win the “Republican” Party nomination for 2024. Prosecuting him could appear more in line with banana Republics than the world’s oldest democracy. 

THE DAYS ROLL BY AND THE WORLD CHANGES FOR TRUMP 

As the days rolled on 2022  the “Republicans” with a favorable midterm election in the offing did not need a crisis where they would have be forced to take sides on Trump so they did what they have done for five years in relation to the travesty that has made a mockery of their party - nothing!. More significantly Trump, who will never give in, would thwart any candidate that he hadn’t backed to exercise his waning power. Any election wherever and whenever it was held would be about him.

Ford had pardoned Nixon. It cost him his Presidency. Those in prosecution were furious but as the years passed and Nixon blended into a traditionalist post presidency the attitude changed. The late Leon Jaworski the Special Prosecutor in the Watergate probe finally concluded that Ford had been brave in his “To Heal a Nation” effort. However as the mal fides of the Trump regime became broader and deeper the growing resentment towards this precedent became wide spread. Although not legally binding it was all there was in history to lean on. The consensus was that was enough to keep the conservative attorney general busy chasing after Trump’s cannon fodder and leave Trump to the voters and history.

The Hearing Committee, after its chilling  expose where Trump was shown to actively spur on the insurrection and the death of his Vice President, released daily videos which were more and more damning. These included illustrating from the original text what Trump had personally crossed out in his speech on January 7 which was supposedly to condemn the insurrection. They also well exploded his lie, that was being perpetuated by his choir in Fox News that he had ten thousand troops on the ready. 

The pressure was mounting on the silent Department of Justice. But in a flash the bonsai escalated. Murdoch had already on one day had two of his lesser components of his evil empire, The New York Post and The Wall Street Journal condemn Trump. What followed rocked the existing narrative. During the day Pence and Trump Fox went to Washington, seventeen minutes of Pence was live on Fox and nil on Trump. On that very same day it was leaked that Vice President Pence’s legal council and Chief of Staff had appeared before a Grand Jury. It soon followed that Cassidy Hutchinson was cooperating with the Department of Justice. According to Alyssa Farah Griffin, Trump’s former Communication Secretary other WhiteHouse officials are confabbing with the Department of Justice. To put the cherry on the top the publicity shy Merrick Garland gave a sensational interview with NBC’s Lester Holt claiming that no - one was above the law.

GARLAND’S COMING OUT PARTY

Merrick Garland claimed that the Justice Department investigations into the attempt to hinder the peaceful transfer or power was the most wide ranging in the history. He stated that his investigations were outside the public eye. Holt pressed home the point when Garland indicated that “no one is above the law” - Garland matter of a factly countered that Presidential candidates don’t alter his schedule.

HOLT: ‘The indictment of a former president, and perhaps a candidate for president, would arguably tear the country apart. Is that your concern as you make your decision down the road here, do you have to think about things like that?’.

GARLAND: “We intend to hold everyone, anyone who was criminally responsible for the events surrounding January 6, for any attempt to interfere with the lawful transfer of power from one administration to another. That’s what we do. We don’t pay any attention to other issues like that”.

Garland acknowledged the incredible role that the House Investigating Committee had played. It appeared obvious that both sides have information the other has not. At this stage of the game there is no reason why the House files, which are massive, should not be moved across the street. Arrangements have been made for the first batch.

In retrospect Attorney General Garland with his judicial history is the only one who could have gotten away with such an historic statement. Fox News hardly commented. What would have raised a storm with anyone else has been acknowledged by all as a fact of life.

WHERE TO NOW?

Trump

As matters stand Trump still controls the largest chunk of the “Republican” Party. He is in this fight till the bitter end. It is all about him. It literally is “duck or no dinner”.He knows that if there are more than two candidates in the Republican Primary nothing will stop him getting the plurality of votes. Whether indicted or not he is going to run. He has been counted out time and again and stood up and come back firing. He is not remotely interested in “Republicanism””. In fact no one more than him would like to see Merrick Garland on the Supreme Court at this point in time. He does not give a hoot about abortion, second amendment rights and the environment. (If Cassidy Hutchinson is anything to go by you can put a “f….ing” in front of each of those subjects). 

Up to time of going into print the herd of sad sycophantic cynical “Republican” legislators have not deserted him and his collection of Senate candidate losers. Even Pence whom he wanted to string up in the public square talks fondly of the Trump/Pence years. De Santis thinks he can create a line going to the right of Trump…. Of the motley crew that are on the list of possibles. Pompeo, Halley, Christie, Abbott and Uncle Tom Cobbley and all, none of them have publicly condemned him. Even those candidates who are taking on the MAGA elite in the midterms are talking about irregularities in the 2020 election. By the time they wake up it will be too late as already fifty - five percent of their “Party” want another candidate. The penny has dropped at least for Secretary Pompeo who, following a string of other cabinet members, is giving a deposition to the January 6 Committee,….

 

Trump will just not keep out of the news in the belief that any news is good. His hosting of the Saudi breakaway golf tournament brought heaps of criticism from several quarters including the families of the 9/11 victims who Trump had admitted to that the Saudis were involved. Trump backtracked as he kept ringing the cash register. 

There is a cottage industry gathering around the MAGA name raking in the shekels. Peter Navarro a former advisor who is awaiting trial for failing has warned the former President that they are a collection of grifters. In fact Trump is at sixes and sevens. All that he knows is that he has over two hundred million dollars in his own re election account. There is but nothing that will stop him running again.

Trump’s Other Legal Woes

There are two legal investigations well under way conducted by two fearless African American women lead prosecutors. In Georgia the Fulton County District Attorney, Fanni Willis, has a grand jury investigation which has had top Georgia Republicans including the current Governor Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger testify. Both of whom refused under massive pressure to “find” eleven thousand seven hundred and eighty votes which was, “One more than we need”. She is also investigating what the Trump operation admitted was a “fake elector scheme”. Ms. Willis has subpoenaed Trump allies such as Rudi Giuliani and Lindsey Graham, Trump’s chief side kick de luxe. Where this goes is not nearly as important as it was a few days ago now that Garland is deep into the prosecution.

The New York Attorney General Letitia James has remained steadfast in smashing the Trump Organization tax embezzlement and fraudulent valuations of his properties depending on whether to pay taxes or obtaining loans. She has won challenge after challenge and Trump and his children have to sit for depositions which were postponed to mourn for the death of Trump’s first wife Ivana. This can hit in the arena he cares for most - his pocket. New York generally is where he had to pay a twenty - five million dollar fine for his “fake” University and close down his Charitable Foundation and pay a two million dollar penalty. 

Then there is the usual business as usual for Trump as has been for the more than four thousand five hundred litigations that he has been party too these last fifty years making a total mockery of the US justice system. So besides the rape defamation, the innumerable civil suits some are involving police officers that were victims of the January 6 insurrection form part of his unenviable portfolio. Then his new Public Company in the making, “Truth Social” is in front of a Grand Jury. As they used to say at the old vaudeville fairs - “Every shot a coconut”.

The House January 6 Hearing Committee

Ending their first series of tightly packed made for TV hearings the January 6 Committee are producing a daily diet of revelations as they continue full tilt with their in camera depositions and fact finding. Trump’s speech on January 7 with all its omissions, under threat of being chucked out by his cabinet, was annotated by comments from Ivanka, Jared and the laconic irritated Pat Cippolone whose claims of executive privilege were tolerated as he provided crucial evidence. 

Then the Trump lie, which he repeated and was repeated on Fox friend Hannity’s nightly show no less than forty three times, that he commissioned ten thousand National Guards for January 6 but it was Speaker Pelosi’s fault that weren’t deployed, was bust wide open when his Defense Secretary’s closed deposition was released for the world to see that he did no such thing. The revelation was all that sensational because Secretary Miller, supposedly a member of “Team Normal” lied on Fox News that Trump had done so!

The elimination of Secret Service text messages and other textsis yet another focus that is being scrutinized. The Trump head of the Department of Investigations is being accused of a cover up.

Apparently after Cassidy’s testimony the leads and offers just poured in. So inundated was the Committee that they promised another mini series in September. Before the “GOP” cry fowl that it will impinge on the midterms they need reminding how they unashamedly smeared Hillary Clinton with bogus investigations of her e mail server and the Benghazi Ambassador raid.

The fact that the Committee are now cooperating with the Department of Justice instead of wailing at the latter’s alleged inaction adds to their enormous gravitas.

Merrick Garland Now

So far the Department of Justice is batting on thousand convictions, admittedly mainly on the misled cavalry of Trump’s first battalion, “fighting like hell”. However the charges have included seditious conspiracy which are notoriously difficult to prove. The professionalism exhibited as well as attention to detail is spectacular. The polished non political prosecution of Steve Bannon for contempt of the subpoena of the Hearing Committee was a clinical execution of justice. Garland has acted already towards Jeffery Clark who Trump wanted to install as Head of Justice and John Eastman, Trump’s outside lawyer, who dreamed the scheme for Mike Pence to override eighty - one million voters. Rudi Giuliani the lead outside lawyer has already been raided. Garland has the cooperation of Kenneth Klowouski, the lawyer Clark suddenly appointed to draft the bogus letter that Clark wanted to send out to Secretaries of State claiming that the Department of Justice had found corruption in their elections. Klowouski was recommended by John Eastman. There are also links to Justice Clarence Thomas’s wife Ginni and Charles Koch one of the major sources of dark money.

The fact that Merrick Garland has applied his legal judicial mind in prosecuting should send shivers down anyone who is in his sights. He would never have gone public the same day that  Pence’s “normal team” had delivered evidence in the Grand Jury investigation if he wasn’t well into his probe of the whole conspiracy. The next day Cassidy Hutchinson’s cooperation   was leaked with all the others. 

Garland has a cast of characters that could turn on Trump from Eastman, Giuliani, Powell and the other teams of lawyers that face long terms of imprisonment. There are persistent rumors that Mark Meadows Trump’s Chief of Staff is cooperating with Garland. That latter fact would make the decision not to prosecute him for contempt of his subpoena to the January 6 Committee.

McConnell and McCarthy are relying on the disaster that is Biden, with nine percent inflation, to win the midterms.

BIden and the Democrats

Jay H. Ell blogged on the Democrats chances on July 24 and there has been major movement since then. Biden’s approval figures are irrelevant at this stage. If push comes to shove he won’t stand In 2024. 

The last move by Manchin who is backing Biden’s Build Back Better agenda in the form of an inflation buster, to coin a phrase, is a game changer. This involves tax of the rich and a minimum of fifteen percent of tax on companies. In addition the bill includes no increasing insurance payments for Obamacare and a provision that will ensure that drug prices will not increase as a Bush provision that Medicare cannot bid for prices from pharmaceutical companies is being axed. There is a massive climate control component in the seven hundred billion Bill. Biden and Schumer’s patience with Manchin has paid off. So the angry youth will think schlepping out to vote is worth it.

Biden has successfully navigated the Ukrainian crisis without involving America in the third world war. Besides Zelensky turning around the ground war, the coalition is holding, the Russian economy is in a state of collapse. He also stood firm in his conversation with China’s Xi Ping.

The Democrats still have the abortion issues and guns from the activist Supreme Court. With the daily disasters climate change is finally gaining traction. Jay H. Ell has to believe that not only will they win the Senate in November the House may now just be that little more in play.

The Republicans 2022 and 2024

The Republican leadership response has been to stick with Trump. They have done nothing to extricate themselves from the chaos that is unfolding before their eyes. They are standing around waiting for Godot. Every candidate is going to be faced with whether they support an indicted leader or not. As matters stand Trump will still will the nomination in 2024. If he does Jay H. Ell believes that Liz Cheney will stand as an Independent to give the fifteen percent or so Reagan Republicans a conscience vote so as to allow whoever is the Democratic nominee to win, or more to the point Trump lose

If unemployment stays at three and a half percent and wages increase McConnell will have a tough time of it. The line is now that Biden is senile and should be removed via the Twentieth Amendment. They are obviously projecting the fact that Trump’s Cabinet was discussing the Amendment as Fox’s Hannity had warned and the January 6 Committee has heard evidence thereof.

THE END OF THE DAY

It is finally getting near the end of the day…. A day without dinner for Trump who will go down saying he won his third election a row.